Price Predictions

Price forecasts that move before the market.

12-month cash price forecasts for the commodities you buy, grounded in the climate risk that moves before the market and validated against years of actual prices.

98.2%
top forecast accuracy, no-look-ahead validated
12 mo
forward view, refreshed weekly
400+
price forecasts across origins and varieties
The Edge

Prices move after the news.
Helios AI moves before it.

Cash prices only shift once a supply issue reaches the media, governments, or growers. Because our climate risk index tends to move weeks to months earlier, Helios AI sees the shock forming first. Every forecast carries that lead.

Climate stress builds

Helios AI detects it

Price Moves

The market reacts

News reports it

Everyone else finds out

You want to be acting at step one. That is where the forecast puts you.

What you get

A forecast you can act on, with a track record you can check.

Cash prices for the commodities you buy, forward and backward, so you never take a number on faith.

The Edge

12 months out, per origin and variety

Export, wholesale, and farmgate cash prices, forecast at monthly intervals and refreshed weekly.

  • Expected change at 1m, 3m, 6m, and 1y, each with forward range
  • A plain-language reason for where each price is headed for the commodity
  • Directional outlooks (up, down, peak, low, stable) where data is very thin
  • Every price in $/kg, $/lb, or $/mt, with Incoterms labeled
The track record

History, seasonality, and past calls

The context that tells you whether today's price is normal, and whether our forecasts have earned your trust.

  • Daily price history back to 2020, in graph & table, with CSV export
  • Year-over-year overlays against the growing season, plus the most climate-similar past year
  • Past forecasts scored against the prices that actually happened, shown in-product
  • A historical-accuracy rating on every series
Under the Hood

Climate first, then the whole market, validated every day.

98.2%
top accuracy, no-look-ahead validated
10
metric backtest on every price series
250k
news sources scanned every 15 minutes
2020
daily price history, forecast 12 months out
Capabilities

What Price Predictions delivers.

Know how much to trust it

Accuracy ratings up to ~98.2%. Every forecast is validated with a no-look-ahead backtest and shown with its historical accuracy and forward range.

Buy and sell at the right time

Expected change at 1m, 3m, 6m, and 1y across every series you care about. The raw material for contract timing.

Explained, not just predicted

A plain-language driver behind every forecast, so you bring reasons to the table, not just a number a supplier can wave away.

Standardized and comparable

Every price in $/kg, $/lb, or $/mt with Incoterms labeled, so cross-origin comparisons are apples-to-apples.

The Method

What goes into a forecast.

01

Climate signal first

An ensemble of ten years of climate-risk history, seasonality, and forecast weather, through crop-specific models.

02

Market fundamentals

Years of historical prices plus continuously updated production, inventory, trade-flow, and demand data.

03

Macro and geopolitical inputs

FX and trade flows, admitted only when they lead price rather than follow it, plus news monitored for tariffs, bans, and disruptions.

04

Validated, never assumed

Every forecast is backtested under a strict no-look-ahead rule and scored on a 10-metric card, benchmarked against naive forecasting.

SOURCES BEHIND THE FORECAST

Historical prices, to 2020

Production & inventory

Trade flows

Demand

FX rates

Climate & weather

Global news

Time-series analysis, deep learning, anomaly detection, and ensemble forecasting combined, matched to each specific price series so the inputs that matter for one origin never add noise to another.

However you work

Price Predictions across the Helios AI platform.

Dashboard

Cash Prices and Seasonality tabs with interactive charts, tables, and forecasts.

Alerts

A daily digest when a cash price moves sharply against the past month.

Reports

The price module of every commodity brief, with the drivers behind it.

Integrations

Cash forecasts and explanations as typed JSON and agent-callable tools.

Frequently Asked Questions

Want the forecast on your own commodities? Talk to us.

How accurate are the forecasts?

Up to ~98.2% on validated series. Every forecast is scored under a strict no-look-ahead backtest and shown with its historical accuracy and a forward range, so you always know how far to trust it.

How far out do forecasts go?

12 months, at monthly intervals, refreshed weekly, with daily price history going back to 2020.

What goes into a forecast?

The climate risk signal first, then market fundamentals like production, inventory, trade flows, and demand, macro inputs such as FX and trade flows, and continuous geopolitical monitoring, combined with time-series, deep learning, and ensemble methods.

Can I see how past forecasts performed?

Yes. Every past forecast is scored against the price that actually happened under a strict no-look-ahead rule, and the historical-accuracy result is shown in-product on each series.

Can I compare prices across origins?

Yes. Every price comes in your choice of $/kg, $/lb, or $/mt with Incoterms labeled, so comparisons are apples-to-apples.