November WASDE: what changed for corn, soy and South America

November 12, 2026

About this session

Commodity analysts swap views after every WASDE. In November we recorded our call. Helios AI’s João Morciani is joined by Tore Alden and Felipe Baptista of Round Lakes Commodities (RLC) to talk through what’s driving grain and oilseed prices into 2027. They cover diesel and the Black Sea, China’s soybean demand and a fast-planted South American crop.

  • Why prices are likely to stay under pressure as stocks rebuild, and what could change that
  • How the November WASDE moved markets, and where RLC’s Brazil and Argentina numbers differ from USDA’s and Conab’s
  • Why Brazil’s soybean area is growing at its slowest pace in 20 years even as planting runs ahead of normal
  • What Helios data shows about El Niño in Brazil so far: a wetter south and a hotter, drier center-west
  • Why diesel could stay expensive even if oil prices ease

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SPEAKERS

João Pedro Rodrigues Morciani

Senior Agricultural Analyst @ Helios AI

Tore Alden

Founding Partner @ Round Lakes Commodities

Felipe Baptista

Agricultural Market Analyst

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